The Doomsday Invention
ai-safetysuperintelligenceexistential-risknick-bostromdeep-learning
Abstraction: Nick Bostrom's superintelligence thesis and AI existential risk debate
Key points:
- Bostrom's "Superintelligence" (2014) argues an "intelligence explosion" — AI improving itself recursively — could make AGI more dangerous than nuclear weapons
- Bostrom introduced "existential risk" as a formal philosophical concept in 2002; founded Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford
- I.J. Good (1965) first formalized the intelligence explosion: "the first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention that man need ever make, provided the machine is docile enough"
- Deep learning revolution (~2010) via cheap GPUs + big data shifted researchers' attitudes; 2015 Puerto Rico conference produced open letter calling for AI to be "robust and beneficial"
- Google acquired DeepMind for ~$500M with conditions: no defense/espionage use and an ethics board — Demis Hassabis framed mission as "solve intelligence, then use it to solve everything else"
- Geoffrey Hinton told Bostrom he didn't expect AGI before 2070, yet continued research because "the prospect of discovery is too sweet" — echoing Oppenheimer on the bomb
Connections: Nick Bostrom · Future Of Humanity Institute · Deepmind · AI Safety · Superintelligence · Existential Risk
Source: http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/11/23/doomsday-invention-artificial-intelligence-nick-bostrom