conformal prediction
A statistical framework that provides sets of predictions with guaranteed coverage probabilities, enhancing the reliability of AI predictions.
- $\texttt{BetaConform}$: Efficient MAP Estimation of LLM Ensemble Judgment Performance with Prior Transfer
- Accelerating Feature Conformal Prediction via Taylor Approximation
- C3PO: Optimized Large Language Model Cascades with Probabilistic Cost Constraints for Reasoning
- Class conditional conformal prediction for multiple inputs by p-value aggregation
- Conformal Inference under High-Dimensional Covariate Shifts via Likelihood-Ratio Regularization
- Conformal Mixed-Integer Constraint Learning with Feasibility Guarantees
- Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation
- Conformal Prediction Beyond the Seen: A Missing Mass Perspective for Uncertainty Quantification in Generative Models
- Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatments
- Conformal Prediction for Ensembles: Improving Efficiency via Score-Based Aggregation
- Conformal Prediction for Time-series Forecasting with Change Points
- Conformal Prediction in The Loop: A Feedback-Based Uncertainty Model for Trajectory Optimization
- Conformal Prediction under Lévy-Prokhorov Distribution Shifts: Robustness to Local and Global Perturbations
- Document Summarization with Conformal Importance Guarantees
- Exploring the Noise Robustness of Online Conformal Prediction
- Failure Prediction at Runtime for Generative Robot Policies
- Image Super-Resolution with Guarantees via Conformalized Generative Models
- KSP: Kolmogorov-Smirnov metric-based Post-Hoc Calibration for Survival Analysis
- Language Models Can Predict Their Own Behavior
- Multivariate Latent Recalibration for Conditional Normalizing Flows
- Non-exchangeable Conformal Prediction with Optimal Transport: Tackling Distribution Shift with Unlabeled Data
- One Sample is Enough to Make Conformal Prediction Robust
- Personalized Federated Conformal Prediction with Localization
- SAFE: Multitask Failure Detection for Vision-Language-Action Models
- Scalable and adaptive prediction bands with kernel sum-of-squares
- Selective Omniprediction and Fair Abstention
- Smart Surrogate Losses for Contextual Stochastic Linear Optimization with Robust Constraints
- Synthetic-powered predictive inference
- Topology-Aware Conformal Prediction for Stream Networks
- Transductive Conformal Inference for Full Ranking
- Uncertainty-Calibrated Prediction of Randomly-Timed Biomarker Trajectories with Conformal Bands
- Valid Selection among Conformal Sets