Conformal Online Learning of Deep Koopman Linear Embeddings

Ben Gao (Wuhan University) · Jordan Patracone (Université Jean Monnet, Inria) · Stephane Chretien (University of Lyon 2) · Olivier Alata (Univ. Jean Monnet, St-Étienne, France Lab. Hubert Curien UMR CNRS 5516)
benchmark dynamical systemsconformal online learningconformal-style mechanismdeep feature learningdynamically calibrated thresholdembedding updatesempirical resultskoopman embeddingskoopman operatorlifted spacelong-term predictive accuracymultistep prediction consistencynonlinear dynamical systemsoverfitting preventionprediction errorselective refinement

We introduce Conformal Online Learning of Koopman embeddings (COLoKe), a novel framework for adaptively updating Koopman-invariant representations of nonlinear dynamical systems from streaming data. Our modeling approach combines deep feature learning with multistep prediction consistency in the lifted space, where the dynamics evolve linearly. To prevent overfitting, COLoKe employs a conformal-style mechanism that shifts the focus from evaluating the conformity of new states to assessing the consistency of the current Koopman model. Updates are triggered only when the current model’s prediction error exceeds a dynamically calibrated threshold, allowing selective refinement of the Koopman operator and embedding. Empirical results on benchmark dynamical systems demonstrate the effectiveness of COLoKe in maintaining long-term predictive accuracy while significantly reducing unnecessary updates and avoiding overfitting.